By Gregory W. Wallace (
Tonight’s G.O.P. debate was strategically scheduled to give candidates a stage before Saturday’s Iowa Straw Poll. But with Mitt Romney leading his closest opponents by only a few poll points in both New Hampshire and national surveys, each candidate is seeking to become the most viable alternative to the default frontrunner.
For the two closest challengers, Michele Bachmann and Tim Pawlety, the stakes are especially high, both at tonight’s debate and on Saturday.
This poll, like tonight’s debate, carries no actual weight in the nominating process. But as Ms. Bachmann found at the June New Hampshire presidential debate, a strong showing in one arena projects viability, and could lead to a strong showing down the road.
Tonight’s stage will be crowded with eight Republican candidates: Mr. Romney, the former Massachusetts governor; Ms. Bachmann, the congresswoman of Minnesota; Mr. Pawlenty, the former Minnesota governor; Representative Ron Paul of Texas, businessman Herman Cain; Jon M. Huntsman, the former Utah governor; Rick Santorum, the former Pennsylvania senator; and Newt Gingrich, the former House speaker and Representative from Georgia.
Representative Thaddeus G. McCotter, Repulican of Michigan, was not invited to tonight’s debate—not for lack of trying—but will be at the Straw Poll on Saturday (scooping locally loved Blue Bunny ice cream).
Ms. Bachmann’s passionate performance in New Hampshire projected her to the top tier of candidates. After announced her presidential bid in the first minutes of the debate, her national poll numbers jumped. She now trails Mr. Romney nationally and leads him in Iowa Polls, where she has been campaigning non-stop, excepting some House of Representative votes, for weeks.
With her increased visibility has come increased scrutiny, including a week-long story about her migraine headaches. Ms. Bachmann has since become more focused on driving her message, including interrupting a Concord Monitor reporter last week as she was asked about her gay marriage position.
“I’m not involved in light, frivolous matters,” she said, per the Monitor. “I’m not involved in fringe or side issues. I’m involved in serious issues.”
Her challenger for overtaking Mr. Romney is fellow Minnesotan Mr. Pawlenty, who has literally shared the stage with Ms. Bachmann in Iowa recently. At June’s debate, he balked balked at an opportunity to criticize the front-runner, but in recent weeks in Iowa, he and his campaign have taken on Ms. Bachmann.
http://blogs.abcnews.com/thenote/2011/08/pawlenty-on-obama-stick-a-fork-in-him-hes-about-done-politically-and-like-a-manure-spreader-in-a-win.html
“I respect Congresswoman Bachmann, but her comments, I think, were consistent with her pattern of being inaccurate and off the mark, and number two, there’s a big difference between talking and getting stuff done,” he said in Davenport, according to the Wall Street Journal. “I get stuff done.”
That comment drew a response from Ms. Bachmann, who had been attempting to avoid Mr. Pawlenty’s swipes, accusing “Mr. Pawlenty of ‘leaving a multi-billion dollar budget mess,’ backing a cap on carbon emissions for Midwestern states and supporting a Wall Street rescue from 2008 that conservatives revile,” according to the Journal.
Mr. Paul bought the most prominent straw poll location and has spent time in Iowa, most recently bringing his son, Tea Party favorite and Kentucky Senator Rand Paul, on the trail in Iowa. He and others—Messrs. Cain, Santorum, and Gingrich—are struggling for attention and support.
If the debate is an uphill battle for the likes of Mr. Santorum, it will be especially so for Mr. Huntsman, who cited his opposition to corn subsidies in announcing—before even announcing his candidacy—that if he did run, Iowa would not be a part of the campaign strategy. He skipped the June debate and announced the very next day his campaign’s upcoming unveiling.
Tonight’s absentee narrative is attached to Governor Rick Perry of Texas, who will not be on stage but is expected to announce his candidacy on Saturday—concurrent to the Iowa Straw Poll—in South Carolina. He then will attend a house party in New Hampshire on Saturday night.
The debate will be broadcast at 9 pm Eastern on Fox News.
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